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Modeling the distributions of Dermacentor nuttalli, Ixodes persulcatus, and Hyalomma asiaticum in Mongolia from 2019-2024

Authors: Nora Cleary; Jodi Fiorenzano; Bazartseren Boldbaatar; Ian A. Pshea-Smith; Doniddemberel Altantogtokh; Erica J. Lindroth; Silas Davidson; +8 Authors

Modeling the distributions of Dermacentor nuttalli, Ixodes persulcatus, and Hyalomma asiaticum in Mongolia from 2019-2024

Abstract

Background: Three key vectors of tick-borne disease (TBD) in Mongolia (Dermacentor nuttalli, Ixodes persulcatus, and Hyalomma asiaticum), known to harbor and transmit Anaplasma spp., Borrelia spp., Coxiella burnetii, Ehrlichia muris, Francisella persica, Rickettsia spp., Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever virus (CCHFV), and Tick-Borne Encephalitis virus (TBEV). Tick distributions on the landscape are constrained by temperature, precipitation, humidity, and host availability. <div> <br> </div> <div> Methods: From 2019-2024, systematic tick collection via flagging and dragging was conducted across 21 aimags in Mongolia. A total of 25,400 ticks were collected and identified. Boosted Regression Tree (BRT) modeling was used to assess suitability (scale 0-1) of the Mongolian landscape as a function of environmental drivers, including temperature, precipitation, humidity, land cover, and soil composition, for each of the three tick species. </div> <div> <br> </div> <div> Findings: Annual mean temperature was identified as the driver with the highest relative importance for D. nuttalli and H. asiaticum, and soil organic carbon for I. persulcatus. Using a suitability cutoff of &gt;0.5, the predicted suitable area for D. nuttalli spans 33.2% of the country, with higher suitability in northern latitudes, especially the northeast. </div> <div> <br> </div> <div> Interpretation: Predicted suitabilities show that D. nuttalli is more widespread than the distinct niches of I. persulcatus and H. asiaticum. Areas with overlap of D. nuttalli with both I. persulcatus and H. asiaticum pose a risk for co-circulation of tick-borne pathogens, especially if these ticks are competent vectors for the same pathogens. These results can inform targeted surveillance and public health interventions. </div>

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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