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Return to Nature: Biodiversity Loss and Global Stock Returns

Authors: Marloes Hagens; Mathijs A. van Dijk;

Return to Nature: Biodiversity Loss and Global Stock Returns

Abstract

We examine whether biodiversity risk is priced in global equity markets using two new firm-level biodiversity risk measures: an environmental cost-based measure grounded in the IPBES drivers of biodiversity loss and a geospatial measure that links firms' asset locations to key biodiversity areas. Our study encompasses a larger sample than prior research: 12,288 firms across 58 countries over 2009-2022. We find that biodiversity risk matters, but pricing depends on the level of variation in biodiversity risk. Within firms, higher biodiversity risk is associated with lower returns and profitability, consistent with negative cash flow effects. Within industries, higher biodiversity risk predicts higher returns. Our analysis of the geospatial measure reveals that firms with risky assets in biodiversity-sensitive areas earn higher returns. Thus, our results are consistent with a between-firm biodiversity risk premium. Our study contributes to a more nuanced understanding of biodiversity risk in asset pricing and offers new directions for climate and nature finance research.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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Average
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Italian National Biodiversity Future Center
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