
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.6174618
<div> This paper examines the USDCAD exchange rate through a historical and statistical lens to inform long-term hedging strategies for Canadian investors with U.S. dollar exposures. We begin by discussing the historical evolution of USDCAD and demonstrate that the exchange rate shows statistically significant mean-reverting behaviour. <span>Using a cross-sectional analysis, we analyze the profit and loss of vanilla hedging as a function of spot exchange rate. </span><span>Further, we explore the relationship between USDCAD and U.S. equities, finding a strong, negative correlation post-2006, which has important implications for portfolio hedging. </span><span>Based on these insights, we propose a dynamic, level-based hedging strategy, that is not constrained and transcends the classical variance minimization approach to currency hedging.</span> </div>
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