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Macroeconomic Dynamics
Article . 2000 . Peer-reviewed
License: Cambridge Core User Agreement
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zbMATH Open
Article
Data sources: zbMATH Open
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 1998 . Peer-reviewed
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 1997
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
Data sources: Datacite
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Herd Behavior and Aggregate Fluctuations in Financial Markets

Herd behavior and aggregate fluctuations in financial markets.
Authors: Rama Cont; Jean-Philippe Bouchaud;

Herd Behavior and Aggregate Fluctuations in Financial Markets

Abstract

We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents generically gives rise to heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power law, similar to distributions observed in recent empirical studies of high-frequency market data. Our model provides a link between two well-known market phenomena: the heavy tails observed in the distribution of stock market returns on one hand and herding behavior in financial markets on the other hand. In particular, our study suggests a relation between the excess kurtosis observed in asset returns, the market order flow, and the tendency of market participants to imitate each other.

Keywords

FOS: Physical sciences, Finance etc., FOS: Economics and business, Random Graphs, Heavy Tails, Herd Behavior, Intermittency, Financial Markets, Condensed Matter - Statistical Mechanics, Statistical Finance (q-fin.ST), Statistical Mechanics (cond-mat.stat-mech), Percolation, Quantitative Finance - Statistical Finance, Disordered Systems and Neural Networks (cond-mat.dis-nn), Condensed Matter - Disordered Systems and Neural Networks, Market Organization, Nonlinear Sciences - Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems, Stock market, random graphs, market organization, herding, heavy tails.., Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems (nlin.AO), jel: jel:D84, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:G19

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
647
Top 1%
Top 0.1%
Top 10%
Green
bronze
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