
We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents generically gives rise to heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power law, similar to distributions observed in recent empirical studies of high-frequency market data. Our model provides a link between two well-known market phenomena: the heavy tails observed in the distribution of stock market returns on one hand and herding behavior in financial markets on the other hand. In particular, our study suggests a relation between the excess kurtosis observed in asset returns, the market order flow, and the tendency of market participants to imitate each other.
FOS: Physical sciences, Finance etc., FOS: Economics and business, Random Graphs, Heavy Tails, Herd Behavior, Intermittency, Financial Markets, Condensed Matter - Statistical Mechanics, Statistical Finance (q-fin.ST), Statistical Mechanics (cond-mat.stat-mech), Percolation, Quantitative Finance - Statistical Finance, Disordered Systems and Neural Networks (cond-mat.dis-nn), Condensed Matter - Disordered Systems and Neural Networks, Market Organization, Nonlinear Sciences - Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems, Stock market, random graphs, market organization, herding, heavy tails.., Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems (nlin.AO), jel: jel:D84, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:G19
FOS: Physical sciences, Finance etc., FOS: Economics and business, Random Graphs, Heavy Tails, Herd Behavior, Intermittency, Financial Markets, Condensed Matter - Statistical Mechanics, Statistical Finance (q-fin.ST), Statistical Mechanics (cond-mat.stat-mech), Percolation, Quantitative Finance - Statistical Finance, Disordered Systems and Neural Networks (cond-mat.dis-nn), Condensed Matter - Disordered Systems and Neural Networks, Market Organization, Nonlinear Sciences - Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems, Stock market, random graphs, market organization, herding, heavy tails.., Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems (nlin.AO), jel: jel:D84, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:G19
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