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Global Games with Heavy-Tailed Distributions

Authors: Sangsidhya Kar;

Global Games with Heavy-Tailed Distributions

Abstract

This paper extends global games theory to Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) noise. Our framework encompasses all empirically relevant tail behaviors through the shape parameter ξ, including Pareto-type distributions (0 < ξ < 0.5), exponential tails (ξ = 0), and light-tailed cases (ξ < 0). The central challenge is that GPD-Gaussian mixing yields non-Gaussian posteriors even with Gaussian priors, invalidating the Morris-Shin analytical approach based on closed-form Gaussian calculations. We establish various results of theoretical and empirical relevance. This work establishes that the unique switching equilibrium can survive heavy-tailed information ubiquitous in financial crises, providing theoretically justified and empirically implementable tools for testing coordination thresholds in crisis data without imposing untenable distributional assumptions.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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