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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao The Economic Journalarrow_drop_down
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The Economic Journal
Article . 2008 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley TDM
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2004 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Democratization and Growth

Authors: Papaioannou, E; Siourounis, G;

Democratization and Growth

Abstract

This paper challenges recent empirical findings that democratic institutions have a negligible direct effect on economic growth. We delve into numerous historical sources and democracy indicators to identify the countries and timing of recent democratization episodes. We then employ a before-after event study approach and analyze the impact of democratization on growth in countries that have managed to abandon autocratic rule and consolidate democratic institutions. In contrast to previous studies, we primarily explore the within country effect of a permanent democratization, controlling for time-invariant country-specifi ce ffects. The dynamic panel estimates imply that democratizations, on average, are associated with an almost one percent increase in real per capita growth. The analysis also reveals a noteworthy J-shaped growth pattern: during the transition growth is slow and even negative; after, however, the third post-democratization year growth peaks and stabilizes at higher level. The effect is robust to various model specifications, panel methodologies, alternative democratization dates, and to the potential endogeneity of democratization. From a theoretical standpoint the evidence offers direct support for "development" theories of democracy and growth that highlight the positive impact of representative institutions on economic activity. They also favour the old Aristotelean notion, recently rephrased and updated by Friedrich Hayek (1960), that the merits of democracy will come in the long run.

Country
United Kingdom
Keywords

330, annual growth; democracy; event study; institutions; political economy, 320, jel: jel:O40, jel: jel:C30, jel: jel:E60

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    influence
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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
354
Top 1%
Top 1%
Top 10%
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