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Dividend Yield, Dividend Payers and Cross-Sectional Return Prediction

Authors: Seong Jin Ahn; Charles Ham; Zachary Kaplan; Todd T. Milbourn;

Dividend Yield, Dividend Payers and Cross-Sectional Return Prediction

Abstract

<span>We provide evidence that dividend yield better predicts returns among dividend payers than alternative pricing factors, contradicting prior research.&nbsp; First, we calculate dividend yield using only the most recent declaration date, substantially increasing return predictability relative to the trailing yield.&nbsp; Second, asset pricing strategies tend to earn low returns within the mature, profitable firms that pay dividends.&nbsp; Cross-sectional tests suggest dividend yield predicts returns because investors value receiving the dividend, rather than it providing information about future earnings.&nbsp; We conclude that dividend yield is a useful valuation metric for mature and easier-to-value firms that tend to pay dividends.</span>

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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