
handle: 10419/283996 , 10986/43391
We study how debt limits can be expansionary in economies facing sovereign risk. We develop a sovereign debt model with capital accumulation, long-term debt, and fiscal rules that features two distortions: debt dilution and a pecuniary externality of private investment on spreads. The optimal debt limit increases capital accumulation due to lower sovereign risk, generating an economic expansion in the long run. Welfare gains are a result of lower sovereign spreads due to expectations about future borrowing and investment. We present evidence of a positive (negative) relation between debt limits and investment (spreads), consistent with the predictions of the model.
SOVEREIGN RISK, ddc:330, Sovereign debt, EXPANSIONARY FISCAL CONSOLIDATION, F34, Expansionary fiscal consolidation, Fiscal rules, F41, FISCAL RULES
SOVEREIGN RISK, ddc:330, Sovereign debt, EXPANSIONARY FISCAL CONSOLIDATION, F34, Expansionary fiscal consolidation, Fiscal rules, F41, FISCAL RULES
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