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International Review of Economics & Finance
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC ND
Data sources: Crossref
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Apollo
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5...
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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The Monetary Aspects of the Dutch Disease

Authors: Constantine, Collin; Khemraj, Tarron;

The Monetary Aspects of the Dutch Disease

Abstract

This article examines two facts of resource-rich developing economies during resource booms: (i) appreciation and depreciation of the real exchange rate (RER), and (ii) central bank monetisation of fiscal deficits. Our monetary model demonstrates that changes in bank loans, domestic public debt, and monetisation account for RER dynamics, not resource rents. Resource rents finance two deficits: (i) the fiscal deficit, raising domestic prices, and (ii) the non-resource current account deficit, increasing supply through imports and lowering domestic prices, which offset each other with a net-zero effect on the RER. In contrast, Dutch disease models assume resource rents are spent on non-tradables instead of imports. The case of Trinidad and Tobago (1979-2022) supports the model’s prediction: monetisation, not oil rents, drives the RER. Empirical studies must control for the non-resource current account deficit and money-financed fiscal expenditures. Finally, the non-resource primary fiscal deficit must not exceed foreign borrowing and resource-based funding.

Country
United Kingdom
Related Organizations
Keywords

3801 Applied Economics, 3802 Econometrics, 38 Economics, 3803 Economic Theory

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    popularity
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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
hybrid