
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.5021920
handle: 10419/312133
We construct a narrative instrument for government investment from official records in Germany. Using structural vector autoregressions, we document a significant crowding-in of private investment and an output multiplier of roughly 2. Then, we match a New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to the empirical responses, and we decompose the multiplier into three channels. Public investment reduces private investment costs in the short run, it increases the production capacity in the medium run, and it generates demand effects along the production network. We find a similar multiplier in other euro area countries, using an indirect instrumental variable strategy.
330, ddc:330, Wirtschaft, structural vector autoregression, instrumental variable, Germany, general equilibrium model, H54, public investment, E62, E65, Fiscal policy
330, ddc:330, Wirtschaft, structural vector autoregression, instrumental variable, Germany, general equilibrium model, H54, public investment, E62, E65, Fiscal policy
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 0 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
