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Economics Letters
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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Research . 2024
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Research . 2024
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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Local Decline and Populism

Authors: Thiemo Fetzer; Jacob Edenhofer; Prashant Garg;

Local Decline and Populism

Abstract

Support for right-wing populist parties is characterised by considerable regional heterogeneity and especially concentrated in regions that have experienced economic decline. It remains unclear, however, whether the spatial externalities of local decline, including homelessness and crime, boost support for populist parties, even among those not directly affected by such decline. In this paper, we contribute to filling this gap in two ways. First, we gather novel data on a particularly visible form of local decline, high-street vacancies, that comprise 83,000 premises in England and Wales. Second, we investigate the influence of local decline on support for the right-wing populist UK Independence Party (UKIP) between 2009 and 2019. We find a significant positive association between high-street vacancy rates and UKIP support. These results enhance our understanding of how changes in the lived environment shape political preferences and behaviour, particularly in relation to right-wing populism.

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Keywords

Populism, ddc:330, local economic conditions, R11, P36, populism, R12, R23, high-street vacancies, C83, D72, Z13, Local Economic Conditions, spatial externalities, Spatial Externalities, High-street Vacancies

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
hybrid
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