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Mathematics
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Mathematics
Article . 2025
Data sources: DOAJ
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4...
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Linear Trend, Hp Trend, and BHP Trend

Authors: Hiroshi Yamada;

Linear Trend, Hp Trend, and BHP Trend

Abstract

The modelling of the trend component of economic time series has a long history, and the most primitive and popular model displays the trend as a linear function of time. However, the residuals of such a linear trend frequently exhibit long-period fluctuations. The Hodrick–Prescott (HP) filter is able to capture such long-period fluctuations well, resulting in a very realistic trend-cycle decomposition. It may be queried whether the HP trend residuals no longer contain useful long-period fluctuations. If such long-period fluctuations are present, then taking them into consideration could improve the HP trend. In a recent article, a new approach to address this issue, the boosted HP (bHP) filter, was proposed. The three trends mentioned above, i.e., the linear trend, the HP trend, and the bHP trend, can be treated in a unified manner. In this paper, we demonstrate the relationship in detail. We show how the bHP trend is constructed from the linear/HP trend, and long-period fluctuations remained in their trend residuals.

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Keywords

Hodrick–Prescott filter, trend-cycle decomposition, QA1-939, boosted Hodrick–Prescott filter, Mathematics

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Top 10%
Average
Average
gold