
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.487417
handle: 10419/152711
A number of authors have attempted to test whether the U.S. economy is in a determinate or an indeterminate equilibrium. We argue that to answer this question, one must impose a priori restrictions on lag length that cannot be tested. We provide examples of two economic models. Model 1 displays an indeterminate equilibrium, driven by sunspots. Model 2 displays a determinate equilibrium driven by fundamentals. Given assumptions about the shock distribution of model 2, it is possible to find a distribution of sunspot shocks that drive model 1 such that the two models are observationally equivalent.
Identification, Identification, indeterminacy, C62, D51, ddc:330, C39, identification; indeterminacy, indeterminacy, jel: jel:D51, jel: jel:C62
Identification, Identification, indeterminacy, C62, D51, ddc:330, C39, identification; indeterminacy, indeterminacy, jel: jel:D51, jel: jel:C62
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