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Attention to the Macroeconomy

Authors: Link, Sebastian; Peichl, Andreas; Roth, Christopher; Wohlfart, Johannes;

Attention to the Macroeconomy

Abstract

We provide evidence on the dynamics, drivers, and consequences of attention to the macroeconomy using tailored panel surveys of German firms and households. Draw-ing on novel measures of attention based on open-ended questions collected before and during a historic shock to inflation, we document three sets of results: First, at-tention to the macroeconomy is characterized by large and persistent individual het-erogeneity, responds strongly to changes in the economic environment, and is nega-tively correlated with attention to household- or firm-level topics. Second, more at-tentive respondents are more likely to adjust inflation expectations during the shock, have higher confidence in their beliefs, and hold smaller misperceptions about re-alized inflation, yet their expectations about future inflation deviate more strongly from professional forecasts. Third, personal experiences are associated with house-holds' attention allocation and belief formation during the shock in a time-varying way, consistent with similarity-based recall. Our results have implications for model-ing attention allocation and expectation formation about the economy.

Keywords

D83, E71, D84, Experiences, ddc:330, expectation formation, Expectation formation, Attention, personal experiences, inflation, Inflation

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
8
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
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