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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2003 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2004
Data sources: EconStor
EconStor
Research . 2003
Data sources: EconStor
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Model-Free Impulse Responses

Authors: Oscar Jorda;

Model-Free Impulse Responses

Abstract

This paper introduces methods for computing impulse response functions that do not require specification and estimation of the unknown dynamic multivariate system itself. The central idea behind these methods is to estimate flexible local projections at each period of interest rather than extrapolating into increasingly distant horizons from a given model, as it is usually done in vector autoregressions (VAR). The advantages of local projections are numerous: (1) they can be estimated by simple regression techniques with standard regression packages; (2) they are more robust to misspecification; (3) standard error calculation is direct; and (4) they easily accommodate experimentation with highly non-linear and flexible specifications that may be impractical in a multivariate context. Therefore, these methods are a natural alternative to estimating impulse responses from VARs. An application to a simple, closed-economy monetary model suggests that the output loss and inflation effects of an interest rate shock depend on the stage of the business cycle.

Keywords

VAR-Modell, ddc:330, local projection, Schätztheorie, impulse response function, local projection, vector autoregression, nonlinear, vector autoregression, nonlinear, E47, C53, impulse response function, C32, jel: jel:C53, jel: jel:C32, jel: jel:E47

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
bronze