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Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2021
Data sources: EconStor
EconStor
Research . 2023
Data sources: EconStor
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Narratives About the Macroeconomy

Authors: Haaland, Ingar; Andre, Peter; Roth, Christopher; Wohlfart, Johannes;

Narratives About the Macroeconomy

Abstract

We provide evidence on narratives about the macroeconomy — the stories people tell to explain macroeconomic phenomena — in the context of a historic surge in inflation. We measure economic narratives in open-ended survey responses and represent them as Directed Acyclic Graphs. We apply this approach in surveys with more than 8,000 US households and 100 academic experts. We document three main findings. First, compared to experts, households' narratives are coarser, focus less on the demand side, and are more likely to feature politically-loaded explanations. Second, households' narratives strongly shape their inflation expectations, which we demonstrate with descriptive survey data and a series of experiments. Third, an experiment varying news consumption shows that the media is an important source of narratives. Our findings demonstrate the relevance of narratives for understanding macroeconomic expectation formation.

Country
Germany
Keywords

causal reasoning, Expectation Formation, Media, 330, ddc:330, media, Causal Reasoning, Inflation, attention, D83, E71, D84, narratives, expectation formation, Attention, Narratives, inflation, E52, E31

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
12
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
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