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Econometrics Journal
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2024
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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The Vector Error Correction Index Model: Representation, Estimation and Identification

The vector error correction index model: representation, estimation and identification
Authors: Cubadda, Gianluca; Mazzali, Marco;

The Vector Error Correction Index Model: Representation, Estimation and Identification

Abstract

SummaryThis paper extends the multivariate index autoregressive model to the case of cointegrated time series of order (1,1). In this new modelling, namely the vector error-correction index model (VECIM), the first differences of series are driven by some linear combinations of the variables, namely the indexes. When the indexes are significantly fewer than the variables, the VECIM achieves a substantial dimension reduction with reference to the vector error correction model. We show that the VECIM allows one to decompose the reduced-form errors into sets of common and uncommon shocks, and that the former can be further decomposed into permanent and transitory shocks. Moreover, we offer a switching algorithm for optimal estimation of the VECIM. Finally, we document the practical value of the proposed approach by both simulations and an empirical application, where we search for the shocks that drive the aggregate fluctuations at different frequency bands in the US.

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Italy
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Keywords

Settore ECON-03/A - Scienza delle finanze, Settore SECS-S/03, cointegration, reduced-rank regression, 330, dimension reduction, main business cycle shock, Vector autoregressive model, Statistics, multivariate autoregressive index model, main business cycle shock., vector autoregressive model, Vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregressive index model, cointegration, reduced-rank regression, dimension reduction, main business cycle shock.

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Top 10%
Average
Average
hybrid