
handle: 10419/272818 , 1814/94286
Abstract The low rate of inflation observed in the United States over the past decade is hard to reconcile with traditional measures of labor market slack. We develop a theory-based indicator of interfirm-wage competition that can explain the missing inflation. Key to this result is a drop in the rate of on-the-job search, which lowers the intensity of interfirm-wage competition to retain or hire workers. We estimate the on-the-job search rate from aggregate labor-market flows and show that its recent drop is corroborated by survey data. During “the great resignation,” interfirm-wage competition rose, increasing inflation by around 1 percentage point in 2021.
labor market slack, ddc:330, E37, Phillips curve, employment-to-employment rate, micro data, C32, E31, Missing inflation
labor market slack, ddc:330, E37, Phillips curve, employment-to-employment rate, micro data, C32, E31, Missing inflation
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