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Journal of Applied Economics
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Journal of Applied Economics
Article . 2023
Data sources: DOAJ
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Article . 2023
License: CC BY
Data sources: EconStor
EconStor
Research . 2023
Data sources: EconStor
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How to Deal with Missing Observations in Surveys of Professional Forecasters

Authors: Constantin Rudolf Salomo Bürgi;

How to Deal with Missing Observations in Surveys of Professional Forecasters

Abstract

ABSTRACTSurvey forecasts are prone to entry and exit of forecasters as well as forecasters not contributing every period leading to gaps. These gaps make it difficult to compare individual forecasters to each other and raises the question of how to deal with the missing observations. This is addressed for the variables GDP, CPI inflation, and unemployment for the US. The theoretically optimal method of filling in missing observations is derived and compared to several competing methods. It is found that not filling in missing observations and taking the previous value do not perform particularly well. For the other methods assessed, there is no clear superior approach for all use cases, but the theoretically optimal one usually performs quite well.

Country
Ireland
Keywords

US, ddc:330, E17, exit, Economic history and conditions, gap, Gap, imputation, Economic growth, development, planning, HC10-1085, C83, HD72-88, entry, predictions, C53

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
gold