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Bitcoin: A Life in Crises

Authors: Jevgeni Tarassov; Nicolas Houlié;

Bitcoin: A Life in Crises

Abstract

In this study, we investigate the BTC price time-series (17 August 2010–27 June 2021) and show that the 2017 pricing episode is not unique. We describe at least ten new events, which occurred since 2010–2011 and span more than five orders of price magnitudes ($US 1 –$US 60k). We find that those events have a similar duration of approx. 50–100 days. Although we are not able to predict times of a price peak, we however succeed to approximate the BTC price evolution using a function that is similar to a Fibonacci sequence. Finally, we complete a comparison with other types of financial instruments (equities, currencies, gold) which suggests that BTC may be classified as an illiquid asset.

Country
Switzerland
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Keywords

Time Factors, Statistical Finance (q-fin.ST), Science, Q, R, Quantitative Finance - Statistical Finance, FOS: Economics and business, Models, Economic, Risk Management (q-fin.RM), Costs and Cost Analysis, Medicine, Quantitative Finance - Risk Management, Research Article

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    1
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green
gold