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Earnings Quality and the Pricing Effects of Earnings Patterns

Authors: Jennifer Francis; Ryan LaFond; Per Olsson; Katherine Schipper;

Earnings Quality and the Pricing Effects of Earnings Patterns

Abstract

We examine whether pricing effects associated with three earnings patterns (increasing annual earnings, quarterly earnings that consistently meet or exceed analyst forecasts, and smooth earnings) are related to each other and, separately, to the quality of the underlying earnings. We identify distinctly-priced incremental elements of increasing earnings and earnings quality. While the statistical significance of the incremental pricing effects of earnings smoothness and of patterns of earnings that meet or exceed analyst forecasts are mixed, in all cases, their economic importance is modest. Our main finding concerns the relation between the pricing effects of earnings patterns and earnings quality: holding constant the level of the pattern, the largest (smallest) pricing effects are associated with earnings patterns supported by high (low) quality earnings. Moreover, for all three earnings patterns, we document that the market either attaches no reward to, or imposes a penalty on, patterns achieved with low quality earnings.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
27
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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