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The Influence of Macroeconomic Variables on the Stock Market Performance

Authors: null Anjaly B; Malabika Deo;

The Influence of Macroeconomic Variables on the Stock Market Performance

Abstract

The purpose of the study is to empirically analyze the influence of the macroeconomic indicators onIndia's stock market performance. The macroeconomic variables considered are inflation, interest rate, money supply,industrial production, and exchange rates in India. The study covers the period from April 2005 to April 2021. The ADFtest has been employed to explore the stationarity of the variables, and the ARDL methodology has been administeredto unearth the association between the macroeconomic variables and stock market return. The study found thatindustrial production, interest rate, and exchange rate have long term negative relationship with stock return. Morespecifically, the exchange rate has a significant impact on the stock market performance. At the same time, inflationexhibits a negative short-term relationship with the stock market return. Though money supply has a positiverelationship, the magnitude is insignificant.

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Top 10%
Average
Average
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