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Applied Economics
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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Research . 2022
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Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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Research . 2022
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Fiscal Sustainability, Fiscal Reactions, Pitfalls and Determinants

Authors: António Afonso; José Carlos Coelho;

Fiscal Sustainability, Fiscal Reactions, Pitfalls and Determinants

Abstract

We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We conclude for the existence of panel cointegration between government revenues and expenditures; primary government balance and one-period lagged public debt-to- GDP ratio; and public debt-to-GDP ratio and one-period lagged primary government balance. The estimated fiscal reaction functions suggest the existence of a Ricardian fiscal regime. Finally, modelling via time-varying coefficients, we find that fiscal sustainability increases with growth, fiscal balances and fiscal rules indices, and decreases with trade openness, current account balances, government effectiveness index, after 2010, and with sovereign ratings assigned by the main rating agencies.

info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

Country
Portugal
Keywords

ddc:330, budget balance, sovereign ratings, fiscal sustainability, panel data, time-varying coefficients, public debt, H63, Eurozone, E62, H61, C23

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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