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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2022
Data sources: EconStor
EconStor
Research . 2022
Data sources: EconStor
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The Downward Spiral

Authors: Greenwood, Jeremy; Guner, Nezih; Kopecky, Karen A.;

The Downward Spiral

Abstract

There have been more than 500,000 opioid overdose deaths since 2000. To analyze the opioid epidemic, we construct a model where individuals, with and without pain, choose whether to misuse opioids knowing the probabilities of addiction and dying. These odds are functions of opioid use. Markov chains are estimated from the US data for the college and non-college educated that summarize the transitions into and out of opioid addiction as well as to a deadly overdose. We construct a structural model that matches the estimated Markov chains. We also examine the epidemic's drivers and the impact of medical interventions.

Country
United States
Keywords

college/non-college educated, Population, Markov chain, OxyContin, Social and Behavioral Sciences, fentanyl, Life Course, and Society, medical interventions, D12, Family, pain, subjective and objective beliefs, E13, I31, Demography, D11, state-contingent preferences, structural model, J17, ddc:330, I12, J11, I14, opioids, and Ecology, Chemicals and Drugs, deaths, addiction, Medicine and Health, prices

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    2
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
bronze