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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Journal of Internati...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Journal of International Money and Finance
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Monetary Policy Uncertainty in China

Authors: Hongyi Chen; Peter Tillmann;

Monetary Policy Uncertainty in China

Abstract

Abstract We propose a new measure of uncertainty about the monetary policy of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC). The uncertainty index is extracted from the reporting about the PBOC's monetary policy in international newspapers. A shock to Chinese monetary policy uncertainty has significant effects on economic activity in mainland China. An increase in monetary policy uncertainty leads to a strong fall in investment, GDP and prices. We also show that a monetary policy uncertainty shock originating in mainland China has strong spillover effects on other Asian economies, leading to a fall in asset prices and GDP. An increase in reporting about uncertainty in international newspapers leads to a drop in stock prices throughout the region. Hence, uncertainty about the PBOC's monetary policy is an additional channel of transmission that coexists with the transmission of PBOC monetary policy itself. Finally, we show that our index contains information over and above what is already incorporated in monetary policy uncertainty indices based on mainland newspapers.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
44
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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