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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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Fiscal Space and the Size of the Fiscal Multiplier

Authors: Luca Metelli; Kevin Pallara;

Fiscal Space and the Size of the Fiscal Multiplier

Abstract

This paper investigates the interaction between fiscal policy transmission and fiscal sustainability, captured through the concept of fiscal space. In order to measure the evolution of fiscal space over time we propose four indicators, drawing from different concepts available in the literature. We use these indicators to define periods of ample and tight fiscal space. We then estimate the effects of government spending shocks in the United States according to the level of fiscal space, for the period 1929:Q1-2015:Q4. The main result of the paper is that fiscal multiplier is above one when fiscal space is ample, while it is below one when fiscal space is tight. Moreover, such difference is always significant. This result is very robust across different identification methods and samples.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
14
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
bronze