
Abstract The equity variance risk premium is the expected compensation earned for selling variance risk in equity markets. The variance risk premium is positive and shows only moderate persistence. High variance risk premiums coincide with the left tail of the consumption growth distribution shifting down. These facts, together with risk-neutral skewness being substantially more negative than physical return skewness, refute the bulk of the extant consumption-based asset pricing models. We introduce a tractable habit model that does fit the data. In the model, the variance risk premium depends positively (or negatively) on “bad” (or “good”) consumption growth uncertainty.
non-Gaussian dynamics, Financial markets, VIX, risk-neutral skewness, variance risk premium, bad volatility, habit
non-Gaussian dynamics, Financial markets, VIX, risk-neutral skewness, variance risk premium, bad volatility, habit
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