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The Application of the 2019-nCoV Global Economic Impact Simulator (the 2019-nCoV-GEI-Simulator) in China

Authors: Estrada, Mario Arturo Ruiz; Koutronas, Evangelos;

The Application of the 2019-nCoV Global Economic Impact Simulator (the 2019-nCoV-GEI-Simulator) in China

Abstract

This paper intends to establish conceptual foundations of analyzing the economic dimensions of regional or global emerging and endemic infectious disease events such as the case of 2019-nCoV. The 2019-nCoV Global Economic Impact Simulator (the 2019-nCoV-GEI-Simulator) attempts to identify the 2019-nCoV transmission parameters and forecast its trajectories. The model introduces seven basic indicators - (i) the 2019-nCoV contagious spread intensity rate (SI), (ii) the treatment level for 2019-nCoV infected cases rate (T); (iii) the number of 2019-nCoV causalities rate (-C); (iv) the economic wear from the 2019-nCoV epidemic rate (-Π); (v) the 2019-nCoV contagious cases multiplier rate (M); (vi) the total economic leaking from the 2019-nCoV epidemic rate (-Ltotal); and (vii) the economic desgrowth from the 2019-nCoV epidemic rate (-δ2019-nCoV). This specific simulator investigates the 2019-nCoV epidemic final impact on the Chinese economy domestically and internationally.

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average
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