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The Macroeconomics of Automation: Data, Theory, and Policy Analysis

Authors: Jaimovich, Nir; Saporta-Eksten, Itay; Siu, Henry; Yedid-Levi, Yaniv;

The Macroeconomics of Automation: Data, Theory, and Policy Analysis

Abstract

The U.S. economy has experienced a significant drop in the fraction of the population employed in middle wage, “routine task-intensive” occupations. Applying machine learning techniques, we identify characteristics of those who used to be employed in such occupations and show they are now less likely to work in routine occupations. Instead, they are either non-participants in the labor force or working at occupations that tend to occupy the bottom of the wage distribution. We then develop a quantitative, heterogeneous agent, general equilibrium model of labor force participation, occupational choice, and capital investment. This allows us to quantify the role of advancement in automation technology in accounting for these labor market changes. We then use this framework as a laboratory to evaluate various public policies aimed at addressing the disappearance of routine employment and its consequent impacts on inequality.

Country
Switzerland
Keywords

J23, J01, J24, 2002 Economics and Econometrics, ECON Department of Economics, Automation, 10007 Department of Economics, Polarization, USA, automation, Soziale Ungleichheit, polarization, ddc:330, retraining, Berufsplanung, unemployment insurance, 330 Economics, E60, 2003 Finance, labor force participation, Beschäftigung, J2, Routinearbeit, E22, E00, routine employment, E23, E24, E25, universal basic income

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    popularity
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
43
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze