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Sovereign Risk after Sovereign Restructuring. Private and Official Defaults

Authors: Silvia Marchesi; Tania Masi;

Sovereign Risk after Sovereign Restructuring. Private and Official Defaults

Abstract

This paper studies the relationship between sovereign debt default and sovereign credit risk by taking into account the depth of a debt restructuring and by distinguishing between commercial and official debt. We take different proxies for credit risk measures, such as rating agencies and institutional investorsÂ’ratings as well as bond yield spreads (EMBIG). By controlling for both the occurrence and the magnitude of debt defaults, we Â…nd that commercial and official defaults are associated to different outcomes. Private defaults seem to involve some reputational costs up to seven years since the last agreement, while official defaulters are not affected (or may even benefit) by the restructuring episodes. Using the Synthetic Control Method, we fiÂ…nd further evidence for the heterogeneity of the economic impact of debt restructurings, confiÂ…rming that official and private defaults may have different costs and then induce selective defaults.

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citations
The total number of citations received by all articles of the researcher of interest.
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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