
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.3475807
handle: 10419/207525
The psychological basis for rank-dependent probability weighting, and for an inverse-S probability weighting function (PWF) in particular, has often been questioned. I examine the existence and shape of the PWF in a model allowing for optimism/pessimism over probability distributions and for loss averse/gain loving stochastic reference dependence. I give commonly observed shapes of PWF a psychological interpretation. In particular, I establish a deep connection between two of the most established phenomena in decisionmaking: loss aversion and the inverse-S PWF: the former is a pre- condition for the latter.
D81, loss aversion, reference dependence, ddc:330, D01, probability weighting, rank dependent expected utility, pessimism, optimism
D81, loss aversion, reference dependence, ddc:330, D01, probability weighting, rank dependent expected utility, pessimism, optimism
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