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Loan Loss Provisions and Bank Stock Returns

Authors: Yuna Heo;

Loan Loss Provisions and Bank Stock Returns

Abstract

This paper examines the asset pricing implication of loan loss provisions (LLP). LLP is a bank’s dominant accrual and a key determinant of informativeness of banks’ financial reports. We find banks with low LLP have significantly higher returns than banks with high-LLP. A long-short investment strategy that buys stocks in the lowest LLP portfolio and sells in the highest LLP portfolio earns statistically significant alpha of 97 basis points per month. The predictive power of LLP is prevalent after controlling for size and bank capital. Further analyses suggest the effect of LLP arises because investors do not fully understand information on LLP, which leads to mispricing.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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Average
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