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Expected Inflation and Asset Returns

Authors: Javed Bin Kamal;

Expected Inflation and Asset Returns

Abstract

There is a large body of literature on which assets are a good hedge against inflation. Most of these studies are concentrated on US or other developed countries. The present study has a wider focus; it examines the inflation hedging properties of three asset classes, namely common stocks, bonds and real estates for 45 countries, both developed and developing. The empirical results suggest that all the three classes of assets are not equally good as a hedge against inflation. Common stocks are found not a good hedge against inflation. As expected, bond returns are negatively associated with inflation, implying that they are also not a good hedge against inflation. However, contrary to the expectations, real estate is not found to be an inflation hedge in most countries. Further investigation of the issue with expected, rather than actual inflation, measured by ARIMA-based and Treasury-bill based models, provides mixed results. Overall, there is lack of significant and positive relationship between actual or expected inflation and asset returns.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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