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Managing Longevity Risk – The Case for Longevity-Indexed Variable Expiration (LIVE) Bonds

Authors: Arun Muralidhar;

Managing Longevity Risk – The Case for Longevity-Indexed Variable Expiration (LIVE) Bonds

Abstract

There is an annuity puzzle in that despite the welfare gains to individuals and society from consumers purchasing annuities, the actual allocation to these instruments by individuals is very low. Many explanations have been provided including adverse selection, complexity and inflexibility of the annuity contract, bequest motive etc. Insurance companies have tried to address these issues by changing their products, but take up has still been low. Some have argued that governments should create and issue longevity bonds that attempt to hedge overall economy-wide mortality risk to improve insurance companies’ ability to hedge their annuity offering, thereby lowering costs. But these longevity bonds have some challenges and while an “improving social-welfare” case can be made for why governments should issue such bonds, these proponents have not shown how governments have a natural hedge. Instead, we suggest governments should create Longevity-Indexed Variable Expiration (LIVE) bonds. These bonds, targeted to individuals (and institutions) would pay income-only, and start paying only after the average life-expectancy of the economy (having addressed retirement income through life expectancy with a complementary BFFS/SeLFIES bond). Each bond will be cohort specific and based on tax collections of that cohort. In this fashion, the government is fully hedged (because the bond will be a form of a collateralized debt obligation), and hence a natural issuer, with low credit risk. Since BFFS/SeLFIES cover the life-expectancy of those living less than the average, only those individuals who live beyond the average (usually richer portions of the population) and with limited resources need purchase LIVE bonds. The paper also briefly discusses the portfolio strategies of those living beyond average life expectancy (which raises one challenge with this bond) and also how governments can ensure that they have sufficient funds to bear this risk. It concludes with the challenges to this approach as there are only three levers in addressing this issue through a bond (coupon payments, bonds outstanding and maturity) and allowing maturity to be flexible requires the first two to decline over time and hence in LIVE we focus on just the coupon declining.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
4
Average
Top 10%
Average
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