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Conditional Value-at-Risk for Log-Distributions

Authors: Valentyn Khokhlov;

Conditional Value-at-Risk for Log-Distributions

Abstract

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) represents a significant improvement over the Value-at-Risk (VaR) in the area of risk measurement, as it catches the risk beyond the VaR threshold. CVaR is also theoretically more solid, being a coherent risk measure, which enables building more robust risk assessment and management systems. This paper addresses the derivation of the closed-form CVaR formulas for log-normal, log-logistic, log-Laplace and log-hyperbolic secant distributions, which are relevant for modeling the returns of financial assets. In many cases financial risk managers assume that not the returns themselves but their logarithms adhere to a particular distribution, and the samples of log-returns are considered. In such cases, the appropriate way to assess risk would be to use a log-distribution for CVaR and VaR estimation. We show how to use the log-normal and the log-logistic distributions for assessing the risk for different asset classes in 2003-2007 and 2007-2009. The log-Laplace and the log-hyperbolic secant distributions have fatter tails, and they may provide a higher accuracy for the tail risk assessment during the crisis periods.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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