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World Economy
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World Economy
Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
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From Carry Trades to Curvy Trades

Authors: Ferdinand Dreher; Johannes Gräb; Thomas Kostka;

From Carry Trades to Curvy Trades

Abstract

AbstractTraditional carry trade strategies are based on differences in short‐term interest rates, neglecting any other information embedded in yield curves. We derive return distributions of currency portfolios, where the signals to buy and sell currencies are based on summary measures of the yield curve. We find that a strategy based on the relative curvature factor, the curvy trade, yields higher Sharpe ratios and a smaller return skewness than traditional carry strategies. Curvy trades build less upon the typical carry currencies and are hence less susceptible to crash risk. In line with that, standard pricing factors of traditional carry returns fail to explain curvy trade returns.

Country
Netherlands
Related Organizations
Keywords

yield curve, ddc:330, currency carry trades, Nelson-Siegel factors, G11, C53, C23

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
bronze