
handle: 10419/253505 , 11585/847665
The wisdom of the crowd applied to financial markets asserts that prices represent a consensus belief that is more accurate than individual beliefs. However, a market selection argument implies that prices eventually reflect only the beliefs of the most accurate agent. In this paper, we show how to reconcile these alternative points of view. In markets in which agents naively learn from equilibrium prices, a dynamic wisdom of the crowd holds. Market participation increases agents' accuracy, and equilibrium prices are more accurate than the most accurate agent.
330, ddc:330, heterogeneous beliefs, Financial markets, wisdom of the crowd, naive learning, Wisdom of the crowd, Wisdom of the crowd; heterogeneous beliefs; market selection hypothesis; naive learning, G1, D01, market selection hypothesis, D53
330, ddc:330, heterogeneous beliefs, Financial markets, wisdom of the crowd, naive learning, Wisdom of the crowd, Wisdom of the crowd; heterogeneous beliefs; market selection hypothesis; naive learning, G1, D01, market selection hypothesis, D53
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 19 | |
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| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
