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Boundedly Rational Expected Utility Theory

Authors: Navarro-Martinez, Daniel; Loomes, Graham; Isoni, Andrea; Butler, David; Alaoui, Larbi;

Boundedly Rational Expected Utility Theory

Abstract

We build a satisficing model of choice under risk which embeds Expected Utility Theory (EUT) into a boundedly rational deliberation process. The decision maker accumulates evidence for and against alternative options by repeatedly sampling from her underlying set of EU preferences until the evidence favouring one option satisfies her desired level of confidence. Despite its EUT core, the model produces patterns of behaviour that violate standard EUT axioms, while at the same time capturing systematic relationships between choice probabilities, response times and confidence judgments, which are beyond the scope of theories that do not take deliberation into account.

Countries
United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, Spain
Keywords

D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty, Expected utility, Deliberation, Response times, HB, Bounded rationality, Applied economics, Confidence, Bounded rationality; Confidence; Deliberation; Expected utility; Probabilistic choice; Response times, Banking, Article, Behavioural economics, finance and investment, D03 - Behavioral Microeconomics: Underlying Principles, Econometrics, Probabilistic choice, Decision making

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
17
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
hybrid