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Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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zbMATH Open
Article . 2020
Data sources: zbMATH Open
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2018
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
Data sources: Datacite
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A Consistent Stochastic Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates for Multiple Tenors

A consistent stochastic model of the term structure of interest rates for multiple tenors
Authors: Martino Grasselli; Mesias Alfeus; Erik Schlogl;

A Consistent Stochastic Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates for Multiple Tenors

Abstract

Explicitly taking into account the risk incurred when borrowing at a shorter tenor versus lending at a longer tenor ("roll-over risk"), we construct a stochastic model framework for the term structure of interest rates in which a frequency basis (i.e. a spread applied to one leg of a swap to exchange one floating interest rate for another of a different tenor in the same currency) arises endogenously. This rollover risk consists of two components, a credit risk component due to the possibility of being downgraded and thus facing a higher credit spread when attempting to roll over short-term borrowing, and a component reflecting the (systemic) possibility of being unable to roll over short-term borrowing at the reference rate (e.g., LIBOR) due to an absence of liquidity in the market. The modelling framework is of "reduced form" in the sense that (similar to the credit risk literature) the source of credit risk is not modelled (nor is the source of liquidity risk). However, the framework has more structure than the literature seeking to simply model a different term structure of interest rates for each tenor frequency, since relationships between rates for all tenor frequencies are established based on the modelled roll-over risk. We proceed to consider a specific case within this framework, where the dynamics of interest rate and roll-over risk are driven by a multifactor Cox/Ingersoll/Ross-type process, show how such model can be calibrated to market data, and used for relative pricing of interest rate derivatives, including bespoke tenor frequencies not liquidly traded in the market.

Country
Italy
Keywords

LIBOR/OIS spread, tenor swap, frequency basis, Applications of stochastic analysis (to PDEs, etc.), liquidity risk, Tenor swap Basis Frequency basis Liquidity risk Swap market LIBOR/OIS spread, Mathematical Finance (q-fin.MF), FOS: Economics and business, Derivative securities (option pricing, hedging, etc.), Quantitative Finance - Mathematical Finance, basis, Pricing of Securities (q-fin.PR), swap market, Quantitative Finance - Pricing of Securities, Interest rates, asset pricing, etc. (stochastic models)

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
18
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze