Downloads provided by UsageCounts
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.2894218
handle: 10419/56760
Forecasting based pricing of Weather Derivatives (WDs) is a new approach in valuation of contingent claims on nontradable underlyings. Standard techniques are based on historical weather data. Forward-looking information such as meteorological forecasts or the implied market price of risk (MPR) are often not incorporated. We adopt a risk neutral approach (for each location) that allows the incorporation of meteorological forecasts in the framework of WD pricing. We study weather Risk Premiums (RPs) implied from either the information MPR gain or the meteorological forecasts. The size of RPs is interesting for investors and issuers of weather contracts to take advantages of geographic diversification, hedging effects and price determinations. By conducting an empirical analysis to London and Rome WD data traded at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), we find out that either incorporating the MPR or the forecast outperforms the standard pricing techniques.
G29, N23, ddc:300, Weather derivatives, weather derivatives, Finanzderivat, Weather derivatives, seasonal variation, temperature, risk premia, Prognoseverfahren, Meteorologie, USA, seasonal variation, G19, 300 Sozialwissenschaften, ddc:330, N53, Q59, temperature, Börsenkurs, risk premia, Wetter, Optionspreistheorie, G22, Theorie, Schätzung, jel: jel:G22, jel: jel:G29, jel: jel:N23, jel: jel:N53, jel: jel:G19, jel: jel:Q59
G29, N23, ddc:300, Weather derivatives, weather derivatives, Finanzderivat, Weather derivatives, seasonal variation, temperature, risk premia, Prognoseverfahren, Meteorologie, USA, seasonal variation, G19, 300 Sozialwissenschaften, ddc:330, N53, Q59, temperature, Börsenkurs, risk premia, Wetter, Optionspreistheorie, G22, Theorie, Schätzung, jel: jel:G22, jel: jel:G29, jel: jel:N23, jel: jel:N53, jel: jel:G19, jel: jel:Q59
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 2 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
| views | 92 | |
| downloads | 57 |

Views provided by UsageCounts
Downloads provided by UsageCounts