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A Value-Added Trade Perspective on Recent Patterns in World Trade

Authors: Paul Veenendaal; Hugo Rojas-Romagosa; Arjan Lejour; Henk LM Kox;

A Value-Added Trade Perspective on Recent Patterns in World Trade

Abstract

Our contribution uses trade in value added statistics to assess the causes of the recent world trade slowdown. We conclude that world trade elasticity has fallen due to a combination of regional and cyclical changes during the economic crisis. A cyclical factor is the lower cumulative trade intensity of consumer goods compared to investment goods. We find no evidence for a structural trade slowdown. In contrast, foreign value-added shares in final exports in Europe and East Asia are trending towards new peaks. The regional changes are caused by an increase of the total import share for regions with a low trade elasticity and decreased import elasticities in some regions.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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