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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
https://dx.doi.org/10.5167/uzh...
Other literature type . 2016
Data sources: Datacite
EconStor
Research . 2016
Data sources: EconStor
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Mental Capabilities, Trading Styles, and Asset Market Bubbles: Theory and Experiment

Authors: Hefti, Andreas; Heinke, Steve; Schneider, Frédéric;

Mental Capabilities, Trading Styles, and Asset Market Bubbles: Theory and Experiment

Abstract

We propose that heterogeneous asset trading behavior is the result of two distinct, non-convertible mental dimensions: analytical (“quantitative”) capability and mentalizing (“perspective-taking”) capability. We develop a framework of mental capabilities that yields testable predictions about individual trading behavior, revenue distribution and aggregate outcomes. The two-dimensional structure of mental capabilities predicts the existence of four mental types with distinguishable trading patterns and revenues. Individuals will trade most successfully if and only if they have both capabilities. On the other hand, subjects who can mentalize well but have poor analytical capability will suffer the largest losses. As a consequence, being able in just one dimension does not assure trading success. We test these implications in a laboratory environment, where we first independently elicit subjects’ capabilities in both dimensions and then conduct a standard asset market experiment. We find that individual trading gains and patterns are consistent with our theoretical predictions. Our results suggest that two mental dimensions are necessary to encompass the complex heterogeneous behaviors in asset markets; a one-dimensional measure of mental capability will lead to biased conclusions. The findings have potential implications for financial institutions, which can use the measures to select successful traders, or for policy-makers, helping them to prevent the formation of asset bubbles. Finally, our conceptual framework and the empirical screening method could be applied to explain heterogeneous behavior in other games.

Country
Switzerland
Keywords

ddc:330, G02, kognitive Kompetenz, Asset markets, 330 Economics, ECON Department of Economics, Experiment, 10007 Department of Economics, Kapitalmarkt, Heterogenität, C92, wirtschaftliches Verhalten, heterogeneity, mental capabilities

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
12
Average
Average
Top 10%
Green
bronze