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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2008 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2008
Data sources: EconStor
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Real Estate Markets and Bank Distress

Authors: Koetter, Michael; Poghosyan, Tigran;

Real Estate Markets and Bank Distress

Abstract

We investigate the relationship between real estate markets and bank distress among German universal and specialized mortgage banks between 1995 and 2004. Higher house prices increase the value of collateral, which reduces the probability of bank distress (PDs). But higher prices at given rents may also indicate excessive expectations regarding the present value of real estate assets, which can increase PDs. Increasing price-to-rent ratios are positively related to PDs and larger real estate exposures amplify this effect. Rising real estate price levels alone reduce bank PDs, but only for banks with large real estate market exposure. This suggests a positive, but relatively small 'collateral' effect for banks with more expertise in specialized mortgage lending. Likewise, lower price-to-rent ratios are estimated to reduce the riskiness of banks. The multilevel logit model used here further shows that real estate markets are regionally segmented and location-specific effects contribute significantly to predicted bank PDs.

Keywords

Immobilienpreis, universal vs. specialized banks, ddc:330, Hypothekenbank, distress, Universalbank, Real estate,distress,universal vs. specialized banks, Real estate, Bankrisiko, G3, Immobilienmarkt, Kreditrisiko, G21, C25, Vergleich, Deutschland, jel: jel:G21, jel: jel:C25, jel: jel:G3

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
bronze