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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2010 . Peer-reviewed
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Research . 2010
Data sources: EconStor
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Conference object . 2010
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Banking and Sovereign Risk in the Euro Area

Authors: Gerlach, Stefan; Schulz, Alexander; Wolff, Guntram B.;

Banking and Sovereign Risk in the Euro Area

Abstract

We study the determinants of sovereign bond spreads in the euro area since the introduction of the euro. We show that an aggregate risk factor is a main driver of spreads. This factor also plays an important indirect role for risk spreads through its interaction with the size and structure of national banking sectors. When aggregate risk increases, countries with large banking sectors and low equity ratios in the banking sector experience greater widening in yield spreads, suggesting that financial markets perceive a larger risk that governments will have to rescue banks, increasing public debt and therefore sovereign risk. Moreover, government debt levels and forecasts of future fiscal deficits are also significant determinants of sovereign spreads.

Keywords

sovereign bond markets, EMU, Zins, liquidity, ddc:330, banking, Sovereign bond markets, Bankrisiko, Öffentliche Anleihe, Bankenliquidität, Risikoprämie, Sovereign bond markets,banking,liquidity,EMU, E44, G12, Eurozone, banking; EMU; liquidity; sovereign bond markets, Länderrisiko, E43, Schätzung, jel: jel:E43, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:G12

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    66
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
66
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
bronze