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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2006 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2006
Data sources: EconStor
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Fiscal Institutions, Fiscal Policy and Sovereign Risk Premia

Authors: Hallerberg, Mark; Wolff, Guntram B.;

Fiscal Institutions, Fiscal Policy and Sovereign Risk Premia

Abstract

We investigate the effect of fiscal institutions such as the strength of the finance minister in the budget process and deficits on interest spreads contained in bond yields of the countries now belonging to the Eurozone. Deficits significantly increase risk premia measured by relative swap spreads. The effect of deficits is significantly lower under EMU. This effect partly results from neglecting the role of fiscal institutions. After controlling for institutional changes, fiscal policy remains a significant determinant of risk premia. We find that better institutions are connected with lower risk premia. Furthermore deficits and surpluses matter less for risk premia in countries with better institutions. This reflects the market perception, that better institutions will reduce fiscal dificulties and make the monitoring of annual developments less important. The results are robust to controlling for country fixed effects and different estimation methodologies.

Keywords

sovereign risk premia, Haushaltsdefizit, Finanzpolitik, Europäische Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion, Risikoprämie, Budget institutions,fiscal rules,sovereign risk premia,EMU,fiscal policy,government bond yields, G12, government bond yields, Länderrisiko, EMU, ddc:330, Öffentliche Schulden, G15, Budget institutions, Öffentliche Anleihe, EU-Staaten, fiscal rules, Regelgebundene Politik, E62, H61, fiscal policy, E43, H62, Schätzung, jel: jel:E62, jel: jel:E43, jel: jel:H62, jel: jel:H61, jel: jel:G12, jel: jel:G15

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    popularity
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    influence
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Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average
bronze