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Autoregressive Conditional Parameter Model with Heteroskedastic Regressors

Authors: Fengbin Lu; Shouyang Wang;

Autoregressive Conditional Parameter Model with Heteroskedastic Regressors

Abstract

To do with the ARCH effects in explanatory variables, a new time-varying parameter regression is developed. The autoregressive conditional parameter (ACP) model with heteroskedastic regressors extends the ACP model of Lu and Wang (2016) by allowing explanatory variables to follow a multivariate GARCH process. The model is applied to examine time-varying causal effects of the daily United States (US) dollar exchange rate and S&P 500 stock index on WTI crude oil price. The empirical results show that the developed model outperforms the linear regression and ACP model. The casual effects of US dollar and S&P 500 stock indices on WTI are time-varying and become stronger after 2008.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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