
handle: 10419/172903
This paper analyzes optimal fiscal policy with ambiguity aversion and endogenous government spending. We show that without ambiguity, optimal surplus-to-output ratios are acyclical and that there is no rationale for either reduction or further accumulation of public debt. In contrast, ambiguity about the cycle can generate optimally policies that resemble “austerity” measures. Optimal policy prescribes higher taxes in adverse times and front-loaded fiscal consolidations that lead to a balanced primary budget in the long run. This is the case when interest rates are sufficiently responsive to cyclical shocks, that is, when the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is sufficiently low. (JEL D81, E32, E43, E62, H21, H61, H63)
ambiguity aversion, 330, multiplier preferences, ddc:330, balanced budget, martingale, [SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, distortionary taxes, austerity, fiscal consolidation, endogenous government expenditures, D80, H63, H21, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, E62
ambiguity aversion, 330, multiplier preferences, ddc:330, balanced budget, martingale, [SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, distortionary taxes, austerity, fiscal consolidation, endogenous government expenditures, D80, H63, H21, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, E62
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 6 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
