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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
European Journal of Finance
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Analysis of the Seeds of the Debt Crisis in Europe

Authors: Haluk Yener; Thanasis Stengos; M. Ege Yazgan;

Analysis of the Seeds of the Debt Crisis in Europe

Abstract

This paper presents an analysis of the seeds of the recent debt crisis that occurred in the Eurozone area. We use the model of Fleming and Stein (2004) for the analysis. This model has two risk drivers arising from uncertainties in the return on capital and the effective rate of return on net foreign assets. Given the risk drivers, we model the net worth value process of an economy under a stochastic setting and show that opening to the rest of the world by pursuing the growth maximizing leverage strategy is better than remaining closed, as that strategy enhances the growth of the net worth process. Second, we provide an extra condition to show when the excessive leverage poses a threat to the sustainable growth of an economy. In this way, we improve the model introduced by Fleming and Stein as a signal of possible debt crises.

Country
Turkey
Related Organizations
Keywords

Foreign Debt, Debt Crises, Current Account Deficit, Growth, Sustainable Growth, Growth Maximization, İnternational Finance, Stochastic Optimal-Control, Time

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
4
Average
Average
Average
Green
bronze