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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
PubliCatt
Article . 2017
Data sources: PubliCatt
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Consumers' Attitudes and Their Inflation Expectations

Authors: Michael Ehrmann; Damjan Pfajfar; Emiliano Santoro;

Consumers' Attitudes and Their Inflation Expectations

Abstract

This paper studies consumers' inflation expectations using micro-level data from the Surveys of Consumers conducted by University of Michigan. It shows that beyond the well-established socio-economic factors such as income, age or gender, other characteristics such as the households …financial situation and their purchasing attitudes are important determinants of their forecast accuracy. Respondents with current or expected …financial difficulties, pessimistic attitudes about major purchases, or expectations that income will go down in the future have a stronger upward bias in their expectations than other households. However, their bias shrinks by more than that of the average household in response to increasing media reporting about inflation. Equivalent results are found during recessions.

Countries
Denmark, Italy
Keywords

Consumer Attitudes; Inflation Expectations; News on Inflation, Skewness, Business Cycle, Leverage, jel: jel:D84, jel: jel:C53, jel: jel:E31

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
11
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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gold