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handle: 10419/123120
What risks do asset price bubbles pose for the economy? This paper studies bubbles in housing and equity markets in 17 countries over the past 140 years. History shows that not all bubbles are alike. Some have enormous costs for the economy, while others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes some bubbles more dangerous than others is credit. When fueled by credit booms, asset price bubbles increase financial crisis risks; upon collapse they tend to be followed by deeper recessions and slower recoveries. Credit-financed housing price bubbles have emerged as a particularly dangerous phenomenon.
N20, bank lending; boom; bust; crises; debt overhang; local projections, boom, bust, bank lending, debt overhang, crises, local projections, C14, E51, C32, local projections, N10, ddc:330, crises, boom, E44, bank lending, G01, bust, debt overhang, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:G01, jel: jel:N20, jel: jel:E51, jel: jel:C32, jel: jel:C14, jel: jel:N10
N20, bank lending; boom; bust; crises; debt overhang; local projections, boom, bust, bank lending, debt overhang, crises, local projections, C14, E51, C32, local projections, N10, ddc:330, crises, boom, E44, bank lending, G01, bust, debt overhang, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:G01, jel: jel:N20, jel: jel:E51, jel: jel:C32, jel: jel:C14, jel: jel:N10
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 306 | |
popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 1% | |
influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 1% | |
impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 1% |